A 63-year-old man is hospitalized following a recent inferior myocardial infarction. Percutaneous coronary intervention was not successful. An echocardiogram obtained following the attempted coronary intervention demonstrated a left ventricular ejection fraction of 55% with inferior wall akinesis and a dilated and dysfunctional right ventricle. On the third day after admission, the patient develops progressive oxygen desaturation and dyspnea despite oxygen therapy while upright that improves when supine.

On physical examination, his blood pressure is 90/70 mm Hg, pulse rate is 86/min and regular, and respiration rate is 25/min. Estimated central venous pressure is markedly elevated. The apical impulse is normal; there is a parasternal impulse at the left sternal border. The heart sounds are distant. There is a soft holosystolic murmur at the left sternal border that increases with inspiration. The oxygen saturation is 90% on oxygen administered by mask while the patient is sitting and improves to 94% on return to his bed. The remainder of the physical examination is normal.

Which of the following is the most likely diagnosis?