A 30-year-old man presents to the clinic with a concern about the appearance of his fingernails. His fingernails on both hands have been pitting, yellowing, and lifting off the nail bed for the past 6 months. He has not tried to treat his nail changes.

On physical examination, there are no changes in his toenails or the skin of his feet. There are well-demarcated pink, scaling plaques on his elbows and knees. Fingernail findings are shown.

Which of the following is the most likely cause of this patient's fingernail changes?