A 35-year-old woman is evaluated for a 6-month history of skin changes on her legs. She initially noted scaling and thickening of the skin on her anterior shins that has persisted despite application of a topical moisturizer and an over-the-counter glucocorticoid. She was evaluated at a walk-in clinic approximately 3 months ago. Antifungal agents and topical glucocorticoids were prescribed, which she applied without relief. She reports that the involved areas have continued to thicken. Medical history is significant for type 1 diabetes mellitus, hyperthyroidism, and vitiligo. Medications are insulin glargine and methimazole.

On physical examination, temperature is 37.3 °C (99.1 °F), blood pressure is 132/90 mm Hg, pulse rate is 90/min, and respiration rate is 20/min. BMI is 19. The thyroid is diffusely enlarged without nodularity. The remainder of the general physical examination is normal. Skin findings are shown.

Which of the following is the most likely diagnosis?