A 55-year-old man is evaluated for a 6-week history of blisters on his hands. The blisters are tender, break easily after they develop, and occur in different regions on the backs of his hands. Medical history is notable for alcoholic liver disease. The patient does not use tobacco but drinks 6 beers daily. He takes no medications.

On physical examination, temperature is 36.4 °C (97.5 °F), blood pressure is 98/70 mm Hg, pulse rate is 85/min, and respiration rate is normal. BMI is 22. Cardiopulmonary examination is normal. The abdominal examination is significant for mild splenomegaly; there is no evidence of ascites. The patient has slight darkening of his skin and scattered spider telangiectasias. Mild hypertrichosis is evident on the face. The hand findings are shown.

There are no oral erosions or ocular inflammation.

Which of the following is the most likely diagnosis?