A 65-year-old man is evaluated during a follow-up examination. The patient is asymptomatic. He expresses interest in being screened for prostate cancer with a new screening test. The patient brings in a printout of a study of the screening test, which used a randomly selected population of men and divided them into two groups: one that was screened for prostate cancer using the new test and another that did not undergo screening and in whom any cases of prostate cancer were diagnosed by detection of symptoms and signs of the disease. The researchers, including outcome assessors, were blinded.

The study found that prostate cancer survival was increased by 2 years in the screened group compared with the non-screened group. The study mostly included healthy white men with an average age of 66 years. There was little crossover between groups. In the group that was screened for prostate cancer, there were more cases of prostate cancer diagnosed overall, most of which were low-grade cancers. In the group that was not screened, there were significantly fewer cases of prostate cancer diagnosed overall; however, those that were diagnosed were more aggressive.

Which of the following is the most likely cause of the increased survival in the screen-detected cohort?