A 23-year-old woman is evaluated in the emergency department for profound shortness of breath, which developed earlier in the day. She reports no chest pain but feels very weak. Medical history is significant for homozygous sickle cell anemia (Hb SS). She was evaluated in the emergency department 1 week ago for symptomatic anemia; she received a transfusion of 2 units of packed red blood cells, her hemoglobin level increased to 8.5 g/dL (85 g/L), and she was sent home. Her only medication is folic acid.

On physical examination, she appears pale and weak. Temperature is 37.1 °C (98.8 °F), blood pressure is 100/60 mm Hg, pulse rate is 110/min, and respiration rate is 32/min. Oxygen saturation is 96% breathing ambient air. Scleral icterus is noted. Cardiac examination reveals a grade 3/6 early systolic murmur at the base of the heart. Lungs are clear. Abdominal palpation reveals no hepatosplenomegaly.

Laboratory studies:

Hemoglobin

3.5 g/dL (35 g/L)

Platelet count

415,000/µL (415 × 109/L)

Reticulocyte count

8% of erythrocytes

Bilirubin, total

7.7 mg/dL (132 µmol/L)

Lactate dehydrogenase

650 U/L

Which of the following is the most likely diagnosis?