A 35-year-old woman is evaluated in the hospital for a 6-month history of worsening fatigue and a 3-week history of progressive shortness of breath. Over the past 2 weeks she has developed orthopnea and leg edema. Medical history is significant for diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis and gastroesophageal reflux disease. Her only medication is omeprazole.

On physical examination, the patient is alert but in respiratory distress. Temperature is 37.2 °C (99.0 °F), blood pressure is 106/74 mm Hg, pulse rate is 108/min, and respiration rate is 24/min. BMI is 31. Oxygen saturation is 92% on ambient air. An S3 and elevated jugular venous pressure are noted. Crackles are noted at the lung bases. Diffuse skin thickening of the face, anterior chest, arms stopping at the elbows, and legs is noted; there is sclerodactyly of the hands. There is lower extremity edema to the knees.

Laboratory studies are normal except for a serum creatinine level of 2.2 mg/dL (194.5 µmol/L).

Chest radiograph shows bilateral pleural effusions and diffuse alveolar infiltrates. Echocardiogram shows generalized myocardial hypokinesis and a left ventricular ejection fraction of 20%. Electrocardiogram shows nonspecific T-wave changes.

Which of the following is the most likely cause of this patient's clinical presentation?